Posted by editor
on February 9, 2011 at 10:40 AM PST
A plurality of voters in last week's java.net poll believe that increased involvement by Java User Groups will improve the JCP -- but, a closer look at the numbers suggests a fairly tepid degree of confidence...
A plurality of voters in last week's java.net poll believe that increased involvement by Java User Groups will improve the JCP -- but, a closer look at the numbers suggests a fairly tepid degree of confidence that more JUG involvement can make a difference.
The poll was stimulated by the recent news that SouJava , the Brazilian JUG based in São Paulo, has been nominated for the JCP Executive Committee . Technically, according to Oracle's announcement , SouJava and Bruno Souza (its former President) have been nominated; Bruno will represent the group in JCP EC affairs.
The poll drew 144 votes. The exact question and results were:
Will increased Java User Group involvement improve the JCP?
- 23% (33 votes) - Absolutely!
- 26% (37 votes) - Probably
- 20% (29 votes) - Maybe
- 15% (22 votes) - Probably not
- 4% (6 votes) - It will be detrimental
- 10% (15 votes) - I don't know
- 1% (2 votes) - Other
So, 49% of the voters believe greater JUG involvement will improve the JCP. If we discount the "I don't know" votes, that becomes a majority. But still, to me this seems like a kind of luke-warm affirmation that increased JUG involvement can make a difference.
If you consider "I don't know" and "Maybe" to be somewhat similar responses, that's 30% of people expressing that increased JUG involvement might not improve the JCP. Then there's the 19% who think that most likely greater JUG involvement will not improve the JCP, or will even be detrimental.
Still, if you compare the strongly positive votes (23% for "Absolutely!") with the strongly negative votes (4% for "It will be detrimental"), you note an enthusasm gap that clearly favors a positive response, and the idea that JUGs can indeed make a difference in the JCP.
My guess is that the JCP's reputation as a big, clunky, slow-moving, too-detached body makes many people think that nothing can really make much of a difference. I don't share that view myself, but I think it's a fairly common view.
As always, this poll wasn't scientific, it's just a voluntary survey, so none of the results should be taken as having broad significance. Still, it's interesting to review the results, and speculate on the meaning they potentially suggest.
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