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Where will OpenJDK be 10 years from now?

Installed by default on servers, desktops, and mobile devices
39% (159 votes)
Installed by default on servers, optional install for user-facing devices
10% (41 votes)
Optional install for servers
5% (21 votes)
Obsolete or otherwise not available
16% (66 votes)
Something else (please comment)
0% (2 votes)
The question won't make sense in 10 years
28% (115 votes)
Total votes: 404

Comments

so the math

99% of open source projects fail within less than 10 years and are abandoned.

The ones that don't have strong central control and financial backing by companies.

Given the nature of the beast OpenJDK won't be around for long. It will be either absorbed by another group like Apache, become controlled by a competitor like IBM, or be overtaken by events and die a slow death in solitude as people move away from it towards other platforms.

so the math

If Java is so pointless, why do you even care? Don't you have something else to do? Is this your way of venting frustrations from work or life? Or do you have a goal in mind? (Personally, I think Java is the bee's knees, even though certain aspects of the technology and the politics are still very frustrating.)

so the math

Java isn't pointless, YET. Which is exactly why I care as I see Java becoming pointless if the direction it's been moving in doesn't change. And that would be a shame of biblical proportions.

so the math

Thanks for clarifying.

The question will always make sense

Because the JDK is now open source, the question will always apply. In 10 years, the OpenJDK may not look much like it current incarnation, but it will still exist. Will Linux exist 10 years from now? Of course it will, but it will be better, faster, and more feature rich. The same is true for the OpenJDK. I believe the open nature of the JDK will drive its adoption to truly be everywhere in the future and people who don't like certain aspects of the JVM will alter it to fit their needs (such as invokedynamic, etc).

The question will always make sense

As much as we would like to know what things will look like predictions that far out are mostly speculation. So in my humble opinion the question really never makes much sense unless you're bored and need something to talk about.